Corn Stocks Galore

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest By Alan BruglerDTN Contributing AnalystThe stars for Friday’s USDA reports were clearly the Planting Intentions for 2019 corn and soybeans, with large corn stocks (as of March 1) getting the award for best supporting actor in a bear costume. USDA showed intentions for 92.792 million acres (ma) of corn in 2019, with soybeans at 84.617 ma. The former was up 3.66 ma from last year, while soybeans were down 4.579 ma. Traders, analysts and even random guys at coffee shops were expecting some shift to soybeans and corn, but the degree of shifting caught some by surprise. I’ll also argue that the data showed a big implied increase in unplanted acres. Let’s deal with that one first.The top table shows what USDA calls Principal Crop Acres for 2019 based on the Planting Intentions report. Please note, that hay is only shown by USDA as a harvested number, and there was no number for rye, so I used a plug number. I combined several types of edible beans on one line, and caught things like potatoes in the Miscellaneous category.Note that primary crops totaled 315.352 ma, which is 4.226 ma below last year. Either folks were sandbagging in the surveys or they were literally sandbagging and expecting that nothing would be planted in their fields this year.A small part of the difference may be double-crop soybean intentions, which create acres out of thin air and subtract them the same way. With lower winter wheat plantings and lower soy prices you tend to get fewer double-crop beans. That said, prevented planting “plans” or “suspicions” likely account for much of the shortfall.If we plug in 5.5 million prevented planting (PP) acres, our bottom line total for planted, CRP and PP is within 617,000 ma of last year and 2 ma plus from 2017. Is 5.5 ma realistic?My second table shows only 1.9 ma were prevented in 2018, but 6.6 ma were on the sidelines in 2015 and 8.3 ma in 2013. There is a price to pay for claiming prevented planting. The check you get isn’t large compared to what you can make on a good crop, and claims in any kind of insurance tend to raise future premiums. You do it because you have to. If it stays wet, the 5.5 ma for PP could be conservative.Now back to the corn and soybeans. The main questions I got following the acreage report went something like this, “Isn’t that corn number too high? Isn’t it likely to shrink due to prevented planting or switching to soybeans?”Perhaps a little, but not a lot.Here are my reasons:1. The survey was focused on the first 10 days of March, but data was taken up to March 19. If you were in the Western Corn Belt, that period was about as bleak as it gets. You were already being flooded, or you were staring at 20 inches or more of snow that had been there seemingly forever. You weren’t likely to overstate your corn intentions. The soy-to-corn ratio says to grow more corn. Anything below 2.3:1, which we had last fall, says to grow a lot more corn. Ratios below 2.5:1 still suggest a little creep toward corn and away from beans. The market has spent much of 2019 in the 2.3 to 2.4 range.2. A peek at corn planting intentions by state versus a year ago shows higher planned acreage for the entire Corn Belt (except Missouri and Ohio) and also in the Southeast and the Northern Plains. Those with more favorable moisture profiles are also planning to plant more corn. Therefore, Friday’s numbers were fundamentally bearish for corn, but probably not as much as the price movement would have you believe. The low acreage for soybeans wasn’t particularly supportive, because cutting 4.579 ma at 50 bushels per acre only cuts 229 ma from the total supply. Current old-crop ending stocks are expected to be 900 ma. There is plenty of fat there. Yes, a China purchase deal could change that fairly quickly, but the deal isn’t signed yet. As my grandma always said, don’t count your chickens before they’re hatched.Alan Brugler may be reached at [email protected](BE/BAS)© Copyright 2019 DTN/The Progressive Farmer. All rights reserved.last_img read more

Military Psychologists in a Combat Zone – Competency and Care

first_imgThis post was written by Jay Morse & Heidi Radunovich, PhD, members of the MFLN Family Development (FD) team which aims to support the development of professionals working with military families. Find out more about the Military Families Learning Network FD concentration on our website, on Facebook, on Twitter, YouTube, and on LinkedIn. By Jay Morse & Heidi Radunovich, PhDThe American Psychological Association’s code of ethics holds psychologists responsible for ensuring their competency to practice. In their call to “take care and do no harm” and to be aware of their own health and the influence that may have on their practice [1], military psychologists are often faced with assessing their own psychological and emotional health under the pressure of combat. In a review of literature relevant to professional competency and secondary trauma, Johnson, Bertschinger, Snell, and Wilson [2] have addressed the need for professional competence in a combat zone and provided recommendations for self-care and possible solutions for self-assessment for military clinical psychologists.In combat situations, military psychologists can be susceptible to compassion fatigue, burnout, and secondary traumatic stress. Compassion fatigue is evident when a practitioner begins to treat a client on a purely cognitive level and to lose the ability to emotionally process a client’s story. Burnout evolves over time and can result in feelings of hostility toward clients. Risk factors associated with compassion fatigue may include:Experiences of helplessness or lack of power to assist clientsLack of supportA personal history of traumaWorking with trauma survivors for an extended period of timeObserving and interacting with military members who have witnessed death, serious injury, or have experienced threats to their own well-being can place military psychologists at risk for secondary traumatic stress (STS). Risk factors that may be associated with STS include:InexperienceA caseload filled with traumatized clientsPersonal experience of combat-related or childhood traumaIn addition to the risk of compassion fatigue and STS, military clinical psychologists (MCPs) have dual identities – that of a practicing medical professional and as a commissioned military officer. These competing demands can cause a wide variety of moral dilemmas when making treatment decisions. The difficulty of making complex moral decisions places additional stress on combat clinicians. The stress of combat, addressing the ethical dilemmas of being a military officer and a psychologist, and the risk of combat fatigue or STS can place a burden on a military psychologist. To minimize the risks associated with the challenges of this position, the authors have made the following recommendations:Actively pursue self-care – Pay close attention to the basics: physical activity, sleep, and nutrition. Maintain a balance between your personal and professional life as much as possible, and deliberately self-assess using reminders such as a checklist.Engage with colleagues – Regular conversations with peers can provide support and most importantly provide a critical assessment of your mental and health. Be open to expressing your own grief and suffering.References[1] American Psychological Association. (2010). Ethical principles of psychologists and code of conduct. Retrieved from http://www.apa.org/ethics/code/index.aspx[2] Johnson, W., Bertschinger, M., Snell, A., & Wilson, A. (2014). Secondary trauma and ethical obligations for military psychologists: Preserving compassion and competence in the crucible of combat. Psychological Services, 11(1), 68-74. doi:10.1037/a0033913last_img read more

Djokovic shrugs off McEnroe’s Tiger comparison

first_imgPagasa: Kammuri now a typhoon, may enter PAR by weekend MOST READ “The person that comes to mind immediately is Tiger Woods,” said McEnroe in reference to the golf superstar whose life and career imploded after a series of extra-marital affairs were revealed.But Djokovic, the winner of 12 Grand Slam titles, shrugged off McEnroe’s comments.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSSEA Games: Biñan football stadium stands out in preparedness, completionSPORTSPrivate companies step in to help SEA Games hostingSPORTSWin or don’t eat: the Philippines’ poverty-driven, world-beating pool stars“He’s very well known for his kind of bold comments and not really caring too much about being politically correct but saying whatever is on his mind,” said 30-year-old Djokovic.“That’s all I can say. I really don’t take anything personal. I always got along very well with John. Ethel Booba on hotel’s clarification that ‘kikiam’ is ‘chicken sausage’: ‘Kung di pa pansinin, baka isipin nila ok lang’ “You know, I guess whether that’s his opinion or criticism or something else, I’m not really sure. But in the end of the day, I respect everything he says.”McEnroe is no stranger to recent controversies having stated that Serena Williams would only rank 700 in the world if she played on the men’s tour.While describing 23-time major winner Williams as the “best female player ever — no question”, he put her around 700 compared to men.“If she had to just play the men’s circuit that would be an entirely different story”.Long-time world number one Williams, who won this year’s Australian Open while pregnant, is taking the rest of the year off to have her first child.ADVERTISEMENT Robredo: True leaders perform well despite having ‘uninspiring’ boss PLAY LIST 02:49Robredo: True leaders perform well despite having ‘uninspiring’ boss02:42PH underwater hockey team aims to make waves in SEA Games01:44Philippines marks anniversary of massacre with calls for justice01:19Fire erupts in Barangay Tatalon in Quezon City01:07Trump talks impeachment while meeting NCAA athletes02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games Ross knows what new import McKines is made of: ‘He wants to win’ LOOK: Jane De Leon meets fellow ‘Darna’ Marian Rivera China furious as Trump signs bills in support of Hong Kong Lacson: SEA Games fund put in foundation like ‘Napoles case’center_img Another vape smoker nabbed in Lucena View comments Nikki Valdez rushes self to ER due to respiratory tract infection LATEST STORIES She hit back at McEnroe.“Dear John, I adore and respect you but please please keep me out of your statements that are not factually based,” she wrote on Twitter.“I’ve never played anyone ranked ‘there’ nor do I have time. Respect me and my privacy as I’m trying to have a baby. Good day sir.”Sports Related Videospowered by AdSparcRead Next Serbia’s Novak Djokovic, left, embraces Slovakia’s Martin Klizan after winning their Men’s Singles Match on day two at the Wimbledon Tennis Championships in London Tuesday, July 4, 2017. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)Novak Djokovic says he still respects John McEnroe despite the American comparing the Serb’s slump to Tiger Woods’s similar decline and hinting at troubles in the three-time Wimbledon champion’s private life.McEnroe caused a stir by claiming that Djokovic’s recent difficulties on the court, which have seen him lose possession of all four Grand Slam titles, could have been caused by “off-court issues with the family”.ADVERTISEMENT Pagasa: Kammuri now a typhoon, may enter PAR by weekend Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. last_img read more

REBECCA’S GDO POSTCARD FROM THE EDGE…

first_imgIn the second installment of our behind the scenes look at the life and times of the Nation’s Game Development Officers, the Northern Territory’s Rebecca Houston delivers her “Postcard from the Edge” from Australia’s Top End.Last month Queensland’s North Queensland GDO Glenn ‘Richo’ Richardson was featured, this month, Rebecca ‘Chewbeckker’ Houston gives us a sneak peak of her life as a GDO in “The Territory”.Rebecca Houston is promoting Touch Football in some of Australia’s most remote communities, and loving it. The 27-year-old has been in the Game Development Officer role for a little over a year, having moved to Darwin from South-East Queensland when her boyfriend Luke joined the Northern Territory Police Force. Even though she is still relatively new to her job, Houston has an accomplished background in Touch Football.Houston played with Crushers in the Women’s Open SEQTL from 1999-2005, and the Gold Coast Sharks in the National Touch League from 1998-2005. She won an NTL Open Mixed title with ‘Sharkies’ in 2001, and in 2004 she represented the Queensland State of Origin Mixed Open team. Renowned as one of the best ‘finishers’ in the business, the speedster has played a pivotal role in the Barbarians Women’s Open Team’s surge into the semi-finals at the National Touch League for the last two years and continues to prove her mettle under the pressure at the Elite level.The bubbly and dedicated Redlands girl has adjusted well to life as a GDO.Initially moving away from her close knit family and the bright lights of Brisbane was a big adjustment, but the positive and enthusiastic extrovert jumped at the chance to make a career out of the game she has played since she was a teenager in the local Redlands competition.Rebecca has made friends easily and impressed all those around her with her eagerness to work, and willingness to embrace the people and lifestyle in the Territory.Northern Territory Branch Manager Isobel Appo is one person who has keenly observed Rebecca’s progress and is full of praise for the GDO.“Rebecca has done very well. Her AusTouch programs and Junior initiatives have gone over well in the Territory. She has a great rapport with the kids, and her hard work, sense of humour, and genuine desire to help people shines through. She has earned a lot of respect and acceptance in the communities in which she works,” Mrs. Appo said.Rebecca is doing a great job passing on the skills she has honed over her years at the top level to kids in communities that have often never even heard of any kind of football other than AFL. Rebecca recently visited Kalkarindji, Yarralin and Timber Creek in the Katherine Region to run Austouch clinics for 60 children over three days. “By visiting the communities, you get a lot of satisfaction from going out there and teaching them a sport that they’ve never really seen before. Most of the time out in the communities they’ve only seen AFL, so they play AFL. They’ve seen a little bit of Rugby League on the television and that’s about it. So your biggest battle is getting them to pass the ball backwards. Once you get them passing the ball backwards they start to understand what they’re doing and they start to get really excited, it’s a good feeling,” Houston said. Rebecca enjoys the travelling that is part of her Game Development Officer duties. She said she is always welcomed into any community that she visits and appreciates the laid back lifestyle on offer in the Territory. “Everyone loves playing sport, it doesn’t matter what sport it is, people get into it. The kids are always smiling and make you feel so welcome. There is so much natural athleticism and skill as well in the Indigenous communities, and of course it’s very rewarding to give people opportunities that they might not otherwise get in the remote localities,” Houston said.Having covered several communities across the Top End, Houston said she has noticed something about the kids from rural communities compared to the Darwin-based children. “They’re a lot less cheeky!” Houston said with a smile. In June Houston will be travelling to isolated communities in remote Arnhem Land. “I’ve been up to Gove before, but I haven’t been to see their community sport teams so that’ll be good.” Houston said.Houston is dedicated to getting more children involved in Touch Football. Without her work developing Touch Football at the grassroots level the game in the Northern Territory would be struggling for a base. A junior competition that has been established in Darwin is evidence of her work.“We originally had four teams and this year we’ve got eight teams, from under-13s to under-16s. Next year we hope to grow it again so it’s definitely getting bigger. The main thing I want to do is just keep growing it for the children and getting them involved. If we don’t get the kids involved then our sport doesn’t grow and we cease to exist.” Rebecca said.By the end of this year Houston is planning to have a junior competition established in the Katherine region. Her Austouch clinics will hopefully have planted the Touch Football seed in some of tomorrow’s stars. But Houston knows that the kids can only develop their Touch Football skills if competitions are set up for them.“I’m going down to Katherine in August. They are starting a school competition, so hopefully they can get a little bit more interest there for their club so that they can start a junior competition themselves. It would be very rewarding. It is good to say that you’ve started something outside of Darwin, it means that you’re not just focusing on one area and that’s a good outcome for the sport.” Houston said.The Northern Territory is going ahead in leaps and bounds, with the formation of several junior competitions, AusTouch programs, and next month’s NT Junior Development Camp set to further consolidate the Top End’s position as a leading light for junior development in Touch Football in this Country.With the rapid growth of the sport in junior ranks in the Territory, Rebecca Houston is sure to have her hands full for some time to come.last_img read more

Miami Football: Video: Michael Irvin Discusses Diddy Incident At UCLA, Says He Had Cops Called On Him At Son’s Game

first_imgMichael Irvin making a face during a TMZ interview.YouTube/TMZSportsOn Monday, Michael Irvin Jr., a three star wide receiver/tight end, followed in his famous father’s footsteps and committed to Miami. Irvin Sr. starred at The U in the mid-late 1980s before a long, Hall of Fame NFL career for the Dallas Cowboys. Irvin spoke with TMZ Sports about his son’s decision, and the conversation turned to the incident involving Sean “Diddy” Combs at UCLA a few weeks ago. During the interview, Irvin shared an anecdote about being thrown out of one of his son’s games. Luckily, Irvin said no kettlebells were involved. We assume he’ll keep his cool when his son enrolls at The U next year.[TMZ]last_img read more

KNOT Offshore Partners Agrees Refinancing for Hilda Knutsen

first_imgzoom Scotland-based KNOT Offshore Partners has, through its subsidiary, entered into a binding term sheet for a new senior secured credit facility in order to refinance the existing bank loan associated with the crude oil tanker Hilda Knutsen.The existing bank loan has an outstanding principal amount of USD 75.6 million with a balloon amount of USD 69.5 million due at maturity in August 2018, according to the company.The new senior secured credit facility will consist of a USD 100 million term loan facility with Mitsubishi UFJ Lease & Finance (Hong Kong) Limited and will have a fixed tenor of seven years.KNOT Offshore Partners expects to close the facility in May 2017, subject to the execution of definitive documentation and satisfaction of customary closing conditions.“The refinancing of the Hilda Knutsen facility will make a significant liquidity contribution to the Partnership. We are securing long-term financing on attractive terms, addressing our refinancing risks and at the same time further diversifying our funding universe,” John Costain, CEO/CFO KNOT Offshore Partners, said.The company added that it anticipates that it will have the option to purchase the shuttle tanker Vigdis Knutsen when it commences the long-term charter with a subsidiary of Shell, expected in early April 2017.A ninth dropdown would result in the Partnership’s growing its fleet to comprise thirteen advanced modern shuttle tankers, a 225% fleet growth since the Partnership was listed on NYSE in April 2013.last_img read more

Ohio State basketball to make second international appearance in Bahamas

Thad Matta stands on the sidelines during a game against Minnesota. OSU won, 64-46.Credit: Ritika Shah / Asst. photo editorCoach Thad Matta and the Ohio State men’s basketball team are gearing up for a trip to the Bahamas, where they will take part in two exhibition matches.Last season, the Buckeyes’ run ended in the second round of the NCAA tournament with a 60-59 loss to the Dayton Flyers.Following the 2013 season, the Buckeyes lost guards Aaron Craft and Lenzelle Smith Jr. to graduation, forward LaQuinton Ross to the NBA draft and guard Amedeo Della Valle to the European professional league.Craft and Ross, neither of whom were selected in the NBA draft, saw action in the NBA Summer League, as Craft suited up for the Philadelphia 76ers and Golden State Warriors while Ross took the court for the Los Angeles Lakers.During the offseason, the Buckeyes were able to add two transfers, forward Anthony Lee and center Trevor Thompson, to the roster.Lee, the 6-foot-9, 230-pound Temple graduate started 27 games last season with 13.6 points and 8.6 rebounds per game and a .495 field goal percentage.Lee said Matta was the reason why he transferred to Ohio State and added, “I know I have the opportunity to win a possible championship, and so I wanted to be a part of that.”Thompson, a Virginia Tech transfer, will not make the trip with the team and is awaiting word on whether or not he will be eligible for the rest of the season. Last year the 6-foot-11, 210-pound freshman forward averaged 5.0 points and 4.7 rebounds per game before transferring to Ohio State.During the Buckeyes’ final practice before making the trip to the Bahamas, senior forward Sam Thompson applauded the attitudes and work ethic of the new recruiting class.“They all came in ready work and willing to learn from some of the older guys, so anytime you have guys coming into your program with that kind of attitude it’s a great experience,” Thompson said.Sophomore forward Marc Loving and senior guard Shannon Scott also commented on the improvements and expectations the offense has going forward into this season.“I think our offense is going to take a really big step then what it was last year, but we’re not going to let that change our defense,” Scott said.“Everyone can spread the floor, everyone can create their own shot and create for others, it’s going to be hard for teams to guard us,” Loving added.The Buckeyes leave Columbus on Tuesday morning and will play the Bahamas All Stars on Aug. 7 at 9 p.m. and the Providence Storm on Aug. 8 at 7 p.m. read more

Claims against Ohio State dropped in former diving club coach sexual abuse

Claims against the Ohio State Diving Club alleging the university did not take significant action to stop a former coach from sexually abusing a former athlete were dropped Wednesday, according to a report by the Associated Press.Former assistant diving coach William Bohonyi was accused of coercing a 16-year-old female athlete to engage in sex acts in July 2014, both on campus and during a competition in Maryland, in a lawsuit filed July 11 in Indianapolis federal district court. Bohonyi, the university’s diving club and USA Diving were named as defendants.Robert Allard, the attorney for one of the divers, said the dismissal “was based purely on procedural grounds” because the lawsuit was filed in Indiana. He said Ohio State said Indiana did not have proper jurisdiction over the university, and that he intends to file a new lawsuit in Ohio against Ohio State.As of Friday, no lawsuit has been filed against Ohio State in Ohio.“We continue to believe more than ever that there was a cover up of massive proportions and we intend to hold OSU fully accountable for its unconscionable conduct in failing to arrest and allowing a known predator to continue to molest children including our client,” Allard told The Lantern.Ohio State spokesman Ben Johnson had previously said the university immediately notified Franklin County Children’s Services, the Ohio State University Police Division, Maryland law enforcement and USA Diving about the abuse by Bohonyi when it first learned of the allegations in 2014.Johnson said on Friday that the university is pleased to be dismissed from the lawsuit.“We have always maintained that — fully consistent with our core value of protecting the safety and well-being of those we serve in our community — the university handled this matter appropriately,” Johnson said.The Lantern obtained records of Ohio State’s internal investigation and found conflicting accounts of the relationship between the club member and Bohonyi. Though investigators were not able to conclude, at the time, if sexual harassment claims were valid, the university found evidence to support a consensual romantic relationship between the two. Ohio State fired Bohonyi on Aug. 29, 2014 because the relationship violated university policy.The investigation conducted by Ohio State found the university first learned of the relationship on Aug. 10, 2014.According to the AP report, Bohonyi and USA Diving remain defendants in the lawsuit.The Lantern reached out for comment from Ohio State and Bohonyi, but did not receive a response by the time of publication.Updated at 11:16 p.m. on Friday to include the information from Robert Allard.Updated at 1:02 p.m. on Friday to include the statement from Ben Johnson. read more

Mourinho would have quit Man Utd had they been any other

first_imgJose Mourinho would have reportedly quit this summer if he had been in charge of any other club than Manchester UnitedThe Portuguese coach has had perhaps the most frustrating transfer window of his career following chief executive Ed Woodward’s failure to support him in pursuit of his main target of a new central defender.United have signed only Fred, Diogo Dalot and Lee Grant this summer.Woodward’s reluctant to support Mourinho has caused a breakdown in their relationship with United supporters reportedly preparing for a plane to fly a banner over Turf Moor in Sunday’s away trip to Burnley in protest towards the club board.Harry Maguire, Manchester UnitedSolskjaer praises Harry Maguire after Man United’s 1-0 win Andrew Smyth – September 14, 2019 Ole Gunnar Solskjaer singled out Harry Maguire for praise after helping Manchester United keep a clean sheet in their 1-0 win over Leicester City.Not the Daily Mirror reports that Mourinho is still fuming over the club’s lack of ambition in the transfer market.The 55-year-old fears that United’s chances at overhauling champions Manchester City in the Premier League have been compromised by Woodward’s refusal to spend the money needed for a new centre-back.Apparently, Mourinho has told friends that had United been any other club than he would have already left.Centre-backs Harry Maguire, Toby Alderweireld, Diego Godin and Yerry Mina had all been linked with moves to Old Trafford.last_img read more

IMPRESSIVE TURN OUT FOR IMPRESSIVE NEW PRIVATE AIRPORT IN TCI

first_img Row over Grand Turk infrastructure reaches fever pitch in Parliament Recommended for you Related Items:airport, blue heron aviation, louis jennings, premier rufus ewing Beaches puts former Premier on blast about controversial pier Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 13 Jan 2015 – It was an impressive unveiling at the new FBO or private airport adjacent the Provo International Airport last night. Written on the faces of those attending the late day ribbon cutting ceremony was delight and approval which let tourism, business, police, civic and government leaders in for a tour of the fixed based operation which opened in November. The country’s leader and Tourism Minister, Hon Dr Rufus Ewing said he believes the addition of Blue Heron Aviation will help the Turks and Caicos to go from number three in the region for private air arrivals to number one. Louis Jennings, General Manager of Blue Heron and overseer of the 21 staff and 6,200 square feet of building space said the plan has always been to add to the luxury image of the TCI… his team he explained is the face of continuing that high standard. The FBO, financed by millions raised locally and which is a Signature Flight Support project, can accommodate as many as 40 medium to large corporate and private aircraft on the 12-acre tarmac. It also shows off a new side of Five Cays; taking visitors along a winding road just off South Dock road adjacent to CBMS, with a now cleaned up wetlands exposed. Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Bishop says peace & prosperity is everybody’s responsibility at Law Enforcers Church Servicelast_img read more